Stock Analysis on Net

Arista Networks Inc. (NYSE:ANET)

자본 자산 가격 책정 모델 (CAPM) 

Microsoft Excel

자본 자산 가격 책정 모델(CAPM)은 Arista보통주와 같은 위험 자산에 대한 예상 또는 필요한 수익률을 나타냅니다.


수익률

Arista Networks Inc., 월별 수익률

Microsoft Excel
Arista Networks Inc. (ANET) Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500)
t 날짜 ANET,t1 피제수ANET,t1 RANET,t2 S&P 500,t RS&P 500,t3
2020. 1. 31. $13.96 3,225.52
1. 2020. 2. 29. $12.07 -13.54% 2,954.22 -8.41%
2. 2020. 3. 31. $12.66 4.89% 2,584.59 -12.51%
3. 2020. 4. 30. $13.71 8.29% 2,912.43 12.68%
. . . . . . .
. . . . . . .
. . . . . . .
58. 2024. 11. 30. $101.46 5.02% 6,032.38 5.73%
59. 2024. 12. 31. $110.53 8.94% 5,881.63 -2.50%
평균의 (R): 4.15% 1.16%
표준 편차: 11.09% 5.28%
Arista Networks Inc. (ANET) Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500)
t 날짜 ANET,t1 피제수ANET,t1 RANET,t2 S&P 500,t RS&P 500,t3
2020. 1. 31. $13.96 3,225.52
1. 2020. 2. 29. $12.07 -13.54% 2,954.22 -8.41%
2. 2020. 3. 31. $12.66 4.89% 2,584.59 -12.51%
3. 2020. 4. 30. $13.71 8.29% 2,912.43 12.68%
4. 2020. 5. 31. $14.59 6.42% 3,044.31 4.53%
5. 2020. 6. 30. $13.13 -10.01% 3,100.29 1.84%
6. 2020. 7. 31. $16.24 23.69% 3,271.12 5.51%
7. 2020. 8. 31. $13.97 -13.98% 3,500.31 7.01%
8. 2020. 9. 30. $12.93 -7.44% 3,363.00 -3.92%
9. 2020. 10. 31. $13.06 1.01% 3,269.96 -2.77%
10. 2020. 11. 30. $16.92 29.56% 3,621.63 10.75%
11. 2020. 12. 31. $18.16 7.33% 3,756.07 3.71%
12. 2021. 1. 31. $19.22 5.84% 3,714.24 -1.11%
13. 2021. 2. 28. $17.49 -9.00% 3,811.15 2.61%
14. 2021. 3. 31. $18.87 7.89% 3,972.89 4.24%
15. 2021. 4. 30. $19.70 4.40% 4,181.17 5.24%
16. 2021. 5. 31. $21.21 7.66% 4,204.11 0.55%
17. 2021. 6. 30. $22.65 6.79% 4,297.50 2.22%
18. 2021. 7. 31. $23.78 4.99% 4,395.26 2.27%
19. 2021. 8. 31. $23.10 -2.86% 4,522.68 2.90%
20. 2021. 9. 30. $21.48 -7.01% 4,307.54 -4.76%
21. 2021. 10. 31. $25.61 19.23% 4,605.38 6.91%
22. 2021. 11. 30. $31.02 21.12% 4,567.00 -0.83%
23. 2021. 12. 31. $35.94 15.86% 4,766.18 4.36%
24. 2022. 1. 31. $31.08 -13.52% 4,515.55 -5.26%
25. 2022. 2. 28. $30.68 -1.29% 4,373.94 -3.14%
26. 2022. 3. 31. $34.75 13.27% 4,530.41 3.58%
27. 2022. 4. 30. $28.89 -16.86% 4,131.93 -8.80%
28. 2022. 5. 31. $25.57 -11.49% 4,132.15 0.01%
29. 2022. 6. 30. $23.44 -8.33% 3,785.38 -8.39%
30. 2022. 7. 31. $29.16 24.40% 4,130.29 9.11%
31. 2022. 8. 31. $29.97 2.78% 3,955.00 -4.24%
32. 2022. 9. 30. $28.22 -5.84% 3,585.62 -9.34%
33. 2022. 10. 31. $30.22 7.09% 3,871.98 7.99%
34. 2022. 11. 30. $34.83 15.25% 4,080.11 5.38%
35. 2022. 12. 31. $30.34 -12.89% 3,839.50 -5.90%
36. 2023. 1. 31. $31.51 3.86% 4,076.60 6.18%
37. 2023. 2. 28. $34.68 10.06% 3,970.15 -2.61%
38. 2023. 3. 31. $41.97 21.02% 4,109.31 3.51%
39. 2023. 4. 30. $40.04 -4.60% 4,169.48 1.46%
40. 2023. 5. 31. $41.59 3.87% 4,179.83 0.25%
41. 2023. 6. 30. $40.52 -2.57% 4,376.86 4.71%
42. 2023. 7. 31. $38.77 -4.32% 4,588.96 4.85%
43. 2023. 8. 31. $48.81 25.90% 4,507.66 -1.77%
44. 2023. 9. 30. $45.98 -5.80% 4,288.05 -4.87%
45. 2023. 10. 31. $50.09 8.94% 4,193.80 -2.20%
46. 2023. 11. 30. $54.93 9.66% 4,567.80 8.92%
47. 2023. 12. 31. $58.88 7.19% 4,769.83 4.42%
48. 2024. 1. 31. $64.67 9.83% 4,845.65 1.59%
49. 2024. 2. 29. $69.39 7.30% 5,096.27 5.17%
50. 2024. 3. 31. $72.50 4.48% 5,254.35 3.10%
51. 2024. 4. 30. $64.14 -11.53% 5,035.69 -4.16%
52. 2024. 5. 31. $74.41 16.01% 5,277.51 4.80%
53. 2024. 6. 30. $87.62 17.75% 5,460.48 3.47%
54. 2024. 7. 31. $86.64 -1.12% 5,522.30 1.13%
55. 2024. 8. 31. $88.35 1.97% 5,648.40 2.28%
56. 2024. 9. 30. $95.96 8.61% 5,762.48 2.02%
57. 2024. 10. 31. $96.61 0.68% 5,705.45 -0.99%
58. 2024. 11. 30. $101.46 5.02% 6,032.38 5.73%
59. 2024. 12. 31. $110.53 8.94% 5,881.63 -2.50%
평균의 (R): 4.15% 1.16%
표준 편차: 11.09% 5.28%

모두 보기

1 보통주 주당 미화 달러(USD)로 표시되며, 분할 및 주식 배당금에 대해 조정되었습니다.

2 기간 t 동안 ANET의 보통주 수익률.

3 기간 t 동안 S&P 500(시장 포트폴리오 프록시)의 수익률.


분산과 공분산

Arista Networks Inc., 수익률의 분산 및 공분산 계산

Microsoft Excel
t 날짜 RANET,t RS&P 500,t (RANET,tRANET)2 (RS&P 500,tRS&P 500)2 (RANET,tRANET)×(RS&P 500,tRS&P 500)
1. 2020. 2. 29. -13.54% -8.41% 312.89 91.63 169.32
2. 2020. 3. 31. 4.89% -12.51% 0.55 186.96 -10.09
3. 2020. 4. 30. 8.29% 12.68% 17.17 132.78 47.75
. . . . . . .
. . . . . . .
. . . . . . .
58. 2024. 11. 30. 5.02% 5.73% 0.76 20.87 3.98
59. 2024. 12. 31. 8.94% -2.50% 22.94 13.40 -17.53
합계 (Σ): 7,133.44 1,618.62 1,768.78
t 날짜 RANET,t RS&P 500,t (RANET,tRANET)2 (RS&P 500,tRS&P 500)2 (RANET,tRANET)×(RS&P 500,tRS&P 500)
1. 2020. 2. 29. -13.54% -8.41% 312.89 91.63 169.32
2. 2020. 3. 31. 4.89% -12.51% 0.55 186.96 -10.09
3. 2020. 4. 30. 8.29% 12.68% 17.17 132.78 47.75
4. 2020. 5. 31. 6.42% 4.53% 5.15 11.34 7.64
5. 2020. 6. 30. -10.01% 1.84% 200.41 0.46 -9.59
6. 2020. 7. 31. 23.69% 5.51% 381.67 18.91 84.96
7. 2020. 8. 31. -13.98% 7.01% 328.61 34.17 -105.96
8. 2020. 9. 30. -7.44% -3.92% 134.43 25.85 58.95
9. 2020. 10. 31. 1.01% -2.77% 9.89 15.43 12.35
10. 2020. 11. 30. 29.56% 10.75% 645.47 92.03 243.73
11. 2020. 12. 31. 7.33% 3.71% 10.10 6.51 8.11
12. 2021. 1. 31. 5.84% -1.11% 2.85 5.18 -3.84
13. 2021. 2. 28. -9.00% 2.61% 172.95 2.10 -19.04
14. 2021. 3. 31. 7.89% 4.24% 13.99 9.50 11.53
15. 2021. 4. 30. 4.40% 5.24% 0.06 16.66 1.01
16. 2021. 5. 31. 7.66% 0.55% 12.36 0.38 -2.15
17. 2021. 6. 30. 6.79% 2.22% 6.97 1.12 2.80
18. 2021. 7. 31. 4.99% 2.27% 0.70 1.24 0.93
19. 2021. 8. 31. -2.86% 2.90% 49.13 3.02 -12.18
20. 2021. 9. 30. -7.01% -4.76% 124.61 35.02 66.06
21. 2021. 10. 31. 19.23% 6.91% 227.33 33.10 86.74
22. 2021. 11. 30. 21.12% -0.83% 288.14 3.98 -33.86
23. 2021. 12. 31. 15.86% 4.36% 137.14 10.24 37.47
24. 2022. 1. 31. -13.52% -5.26% 312.31 41.21 113.45
25. 2022. 2. 28. -1.29% -3.14% 29.56 18.47 23.36
26. 2022. 3. 31. 13.27% 3.58% 83.10 5.84 22.02
27. 2022. 4. 30. -16.86% -8.80% 441.55 99.14 209.23
28. 2022. 5. 31. -11.49% 0.01% 244.66 1.34 18.08
29. 2022. 6. 30. -8.33% -8.39% 155.75 91.26 119.22
30. 2022. 7. 31. 24.40% 9.11% 410.18 63.21 161.02
31. 2022. 8. 31. 2.78% -4.24% 1.88 29.22 7.42
32. 2022. 9. 30. -5.84% -9.34% 99.78 110.27 104.89
33. 2022. 10. 31. 7.09% 7.99% 8.63 46.58 20.05
34. 2022. 11. 30. 15.25% 5.38% 123.32 17.76 46.80
35. 2022. 12. 31. -12.89% -5.90% 290.40 49.82 120.28
36. 2023. 1. 31. 3.86% 6.18% 0.09 25.14 -1.47
37. 2023. 2. 28. 10.06% -2.61% 34.93 14.23 -22.30
38. 2023. 3. 31. 21.02% 3.51% 284.63 5.49 39.54
39. 2023. 4. 30. -4.60% 1.46% 76.53 0.09 -2.65
40. 2023. 5. 31. 3.87% 0.25% 0.08 0.83 0.25
41. 2023. 6. 30. -2.57% 4.71% 45.19 12.62 -23.88
42. 2023. 7. 31. -4.32% 4.85% 71.72 13.58 -31.20
43. 2023. 8. 31. 25.90% -1.77% 472.91 8.60 -63.78
44. 2023. 9. 30. -5.80% -4.87% 98.96 36.40 60.02
45. 2023. 10. 31. 8.94% -2.20% 22.93 11.28 -16.09
46. 2023. 11. 30. 9.66% 8.92% 30.39 60.17 42.76
47. 2023. 12. 31. 7.19% 4.42% 9.25 10.64 9.92
48. 2024. 1. 31. 9.83% 1.59% 32.30 0.18 2.43
49. 2024. 2. 29. 7.30% 5.17% 9.91 16.09 12.63
50. 2024. 3. 31. 4.48% 3.10% 0.11 3.77 0.64
51. 2024. 4. 30. -11.53% -4.16% 245.89 28.33 83.47
52. 2024. 5. 31. 16.01% 4.80% 140.71 13.26 43.19
53. 2024. 6. 30. 17.75% 3.47% 185.04 5.32 31.36
54. 2024. 7. 31. -1.12% 1.13% 27.76 0.00 0.15
55. 2024. 8. 31. 1.97% 2.28% 4.74 1.26 -2.44
56. 2024. 9. 30. 8.61% 2.02% 19.92 0.74 3.83
57. 2024. 10. 31. 0.68% -0.99% 12.06 4.63 7.47
58. 2024. 11. 30. 5.02% 5.73% 0.76 20.87 3.98
59. 2024. 12. 31. 8.94% -2.50% 22.94 13.40 -17.53
합계 (Σ): 7,133.44 1,618.62 1,768.78

모두 보기

분산ANET = Σ(RANET,tRANET)2 ÷ (59 – 1)
= 7,133.44 ÷ (59 – 1)
= 122.99

분산S&P 500 = Σ(RS&P 500,tRS&P 500)2 ÷ (59 – 1)
= 1,618.62 ÷ (59 – 1)
= 27.91

공분산ANET, S&P 500 = Σ(RANET,tRANET)×(RS&P 500,tRS&P 500) ÷ (59 – 1)
= 1,768.78 ÷ (59 – 1)
= 30.50


체계적인 위험 추정 (β)

Microsoft Excel
분산ANET 122.99
분산S&P 500 27.91
공분산ANET, S&P 500 30.50
상관 계수ANET, S&P 5001 0.52
βANET2 1.09
αANET3 2.88%

계산

1 상관 계수ANET, S&P 500
= 공분산ANET, S&P 500 ÷ (표준 편차ANET × 표준 편차S&P 500)
= 30.50 ÷ (11.09% × 5.28%)
= 0.52

2 βANET
= 공분산ANET, S&P 500 ÷ 분산S&P 500
= 30.50 ÷ 27.91
= 1.09

3 αANET
= 평균의ANET – βANET × 평균의S&P 500
= 4.15%1.09 × 1.16%
= 2.88%


기대 수익률

Microsoft Excel
가정
LT Treasury Composite의 수익률1 RF 4.81%
시장 포트폴리오에 대한 예상 수익률2 E(RM) 14.72%
보통주의 체계적 위험Arista βANET 1.09
 
Arista 보통주의 예상 수익률3 E(RANET) 15.64%

1 10년 이내에 만기가 도래하거나 콜링할 수 없는 모든 미결제 고정 쿠폰 미국 국채에 대한 입찰 수익률의 비가중 평균(무위험 수익률 대리).

2 자세히 보기 »

3 E(RANET) = RF + βANET [E(RM) – RF]
= 4.81% + 1.09 [14.72%4.81%]
= 15.64%