Stock Analysis on Net

GE Aerospace (NYSE:GE)

자본 자산 가격 책정 모델 (CAPM) 

Microsoft Excel

자본 자산 가격 책정 모델(CAPM)은 GE Aerospace의 보통주와 같은 위험 자산에 대한 예상 또는 필요한 수익률을 나타냅니다.


수익률

GE Aerospace, 월별 수익률

Microsoft Excel
GE Aerospace (GE) Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500)
t 날짜 GE,t1 피제수GE,t1 RGE,t2 S&P 500,t RS&P 500,t3
2020. 1. 31. $99.60 3,225.52
1. 2020. 2. 29. $87.04 -12.61% 2,954.22 -8.41%
2. 2020. 3. 31. $63.52 $0.08 -26.93% 2,584.59 -12.51%
3. 2020. 4. 30. $54.40 -14.36% 2,912.43 12.68%
. . . . . . .
. . . . . . .
. . . . . . .
58. 2024. 11. 30. $182.16 6.04% 6,032.38 5.73%
59. 2024. 12. 31. $166.79 $0.28 -8.28% 5,881.63 -2.50%
평균의 (R): 1.48% 1.16%
표준 편차: 10.85% 5.28%
GE Aerospace (GE) Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500)
t 날짜 GE,t1 피제수GE,t1 RGE,t2 S&P 500,t RS&P 500,t3
2020. 1. 31. $99.60 3,225.52
1. 2020. 2. 29. $87.04 -12.61% 2,954.22 -8.41%
2. 2020. 3. 31. $63.52 $0.08 -26.93% 2,584.59 -12.51%
3. 2020. 4. 30. $54.40 -14.36% 2,912.43 12.68%
4. 2020. 5. 31. $52.56 -3.38% 3,044.31 4.53%
5. 2020. 6. 30. $54.64 $0.08 4.11% 3,100.29 1.84%
6. 2020. 7. 31. $48.56 -11.13% 3,271.12 5.51%
7. 2020. 8. 31. $50.72 4.45% 3,500.31 7.01%
8. 2020. 9. 30. $49.84 $0.08 -1.58% 3,363.00 -3.92%
9. 2020. 10. 31. $59.36 19.10% 3,269.96 -2.77%
10. 2020. 11. 30. $81.44 37.20% 3,621.63 10.75%
11. 2020. 12. 31. $86.40 $0.08 6.19% 3,756.07 3.71%
12. 2021. 1. 31. $85.44 -1.11% 3,714.24 -1.11%
13. 2021. 2. 28. $100.32 17.42% 3,811.15 2.61%
14. 2021. 3. 31. $105.04 $0.08 4.78% 3,972.89 4.24%
15. 2021. 4. 30. $104.96 -0.08% 4,181.17 5.24%
16. 2021. 5. 31. $112.48 7.16% 4,204.11 0.55%
17. 2021. 6. 30. $107.68 $0.08 -4.20% 4,297.50 2.22%
18. 2021. 7. 31. $103.60 -3.79% 4,395.26 2.27%
19. 2021. 8. 31. $105.41 1.75% 4,522.68 2.90%
20. 2021. 9. 30. $103.03 $0.08 -2.18% 4,307.54 -4.76%
21. 2021. 10. 31. $104.87 1.79% 4,605.38 6.91%
22. 2021. 11. 30. $94.99 -9.42% 4,567.00 -0.83%
23. 2021. 12. 31. $94.47 $0.08 -0.46% 4,766.18 4.36%
24. 2022. 1. 31. $94.48 0.01% 4,515.55 -5.26%
25. 2022. 2. 28. $95.51 1.09% 4,373.94 -3.14%
26. 2022. 3. 31. $91.50 $0.08 -4.11% 4,530.41 3.58%
27. 2022. 4. 30. $74.55 -18.52% 4,131.93 -8.80%
28. 2022. 5. 31. $78.29 5.02% 4,132.15 0.01%
29. 2022. 6. 30. $63.67 $0.08 -18.57% 3,785.38 -8.39%
30. 2022. 7. 31. $73.91 16.08% 4,130.29 9.11%
31. 2022. 8. 31. $73.44 -0.64% 3,955.00 -4.24%
32. 2022. 9. 30. $61.91 $0.08 -15.59% 3,585.62 -9.34%
33. 2022. 10. 31. $77.81 25.68% 3,871.98 7.99%
34. 2022. 11. 30. $85.97 10.49% 4,080.11 5.38%
35. 2022. 12. 31. $83.79 $0.08 -2.44% 3,839.50 -5.90%
36. 2023. 1. 31. $80.48 -3.95% 4,076.60 6.18%
37. 2023. 2. 28. $84.71 5.26% 3,970.15 -2.61%
38. 2023. 3. 31. $95.60 $0.08 12.95% 4,109.31 3.51%
39. 2023. 4. 30. $98.97 3.53% 4,169.48 1.46%
40. 2023. 5. 31. $101.53 2.59% 4,179.83 0.25%
41. 2023. 6. 30. $109.85 8.19% 4,376.86 4.71%
42. 2023. 7. 31. $114.24 $0.08 4.07% 4,588.96 4.85%
43. 2023. 8. 31. $114.46 0.19% 4,507.66 -1.77%
44. 2023. 9. 30. $110.55 $0.08 -3.35% 4,288.05 -4.87%
45. 2023. 10. 31. $108.63 -1.74% 4,193.80 -2.20%
46. 2023. 11. 30. $121.80 12.12% 4,567.80 8.92%
47. 2023. 12. 31. $127.63 $0.08 4.85% 4,769.83 4.42%
48. 2024. 1. 31. $132.42 3.75% 4,845.65 1.59%
49. 2024. 2. 29. $156.89 18.48% 5,096.27 5.17%
50. 2024. 3. 31. $175.53 11.88% 5,254.35 3.10%
51. 2024. 4. 30. $161.82 $0.28 -7.65% 5,035.69 -4.16%
52. 2024. 5. 31. $165.14 2.05% 5,277.51 4.80%
53. 2024. 6. 30. $158.97 -3.74% 5,460.48 3.47%
54. 2024. 7. 31. $170.20 $0.28 7.24% 5,522.30 1.13%
55. 2024. 8. 31. $174.62 2.60% 5,648.40 2.28%
56. 2024. 9. 30. $188.58 $0.28 8.15% 5,762.48 2.02%
57. 2024. 10. 31. $171.78 -8.91% 5,705.45 -0.99%
58. 2024. 11. 30. $182.16 6.04% 6,032.38 5.73%
59. 2024. 12. 31. $166.79 $0.28 -8.28% 5,881.63 -2.50%
평균의 (R): 1.48% 1.16%
표준 편차: 10.85% 5.28%

모두 보기

1 보통주 주당 미화 달러(USD)로 표시되며, 분할 및 주식 배당금에 대해 조정되었습니다.

2 t기간 동안 GE의 보통주 수익률

3 기간 t 동안 S&P 500(시장 포트폴리오 프록시)의 수익률.


분산과 공분산

GE Aerospace, 수익률의 분산 및 공분산 계산

Microsoft Excel
t 날짜 RGE,t RS&P 500,t (RGE,tRGE)2 (RS&P 500,tRS&P 500)2 (RGE,tRGE)×(RS&P 500,tRS&P 500)
1. 2020. 2. 29. -12.61% -8.41% 198.65 91.63 134.91
2. 2020. 3. 31. -26.93% -12.51% 807.35 186.96 388.51
3. 2020. 4. 30. -14.36% 12.68% 250.95 132.78 -182.54
. . . . . . .
. . . . . . .
. . . . . . .
58. 2024. 11. 30. 6.04% 5.73% 20.78 20.87 20.83
59. 2024. 12. 31. -8.28% -2.50% 95.41 13.40 35.75
합계 (Σ): 6,823.57 1,618.62 1,937.89
t 날짜 RGE,t RS&P 500,t (RGE,tRGE)2 (RS&P 500,tRS&P 500)2 (RGE,tRGE)×(RS&P 500,tRS&P 500)
1. 2020. 2. 29. -12.61% -8.41% 198.65 91.63 134.91
2. 2020. 3. 31. -26.93% -12.51% 807.35 186.96 388.51
3. 2020. 4. 30. -14.36% 12.68% 250.95 132.78 -182.54
4. 2020. 5. 31. -3.38% 4.53% 23.68 11.34 -16.38
5. 2020. 6. 30. 4.11% 1.84% 6.89 0.46 1.78
6. 2020. 7. 31. -11.13% 5.51% 159.04 18.91 -54.84
7. 2020. 8. 31. 4.45% 7.01% 8.79 34.17 17.33
8. 2020. 9. 30. -1.58% -3.92% 9.37 25.85 15.56
9. 2020. 10. 31. 19.10% -2.77% 310.37 15.43 -69.20
10. 2020. 11. 30. 37.20% 10.75% 1,275.42 92.03 342.61
11. 2020. 12. 31. 6.19% 3.71% 22.14 6.51 12.00
12. 2021. 1. 31. -1.11% -1.11% 6.73 5.18 5.90
13. 2021. 2. 28. 17.42% 2.61% 253.83 2.10 23.07
14. 2021. 3. 31. 4.78% 4.24% 10.90 9.50 10.18
15. 2021. 4. 30. -0.08% 5.24% 2.43 16.66 -6.37
16. 2021. 5. 31. 7.16% 0.55% 32.27 0.38 -3.48
17. 2021. 6. 30. -4.20% 2.22% 32.26 1.12 -6.02
18. 2021. 7. 31. -3.79% 2.27% 27.80 1.24 -5.87
19. 2021. 8. 31. 1.75% 2.90% 0.07 3.02 0.46
20. 2021. 9. 30. -2.18% -4.76% 13.44 35.02 21.69
21. 2021. 10. 31. 1.79% 6.91% 0.09 33.10 1.74
22. 2021. 11. 30. -9.42% -0.83% 118.92 3.98 21.75
23. 2021. 12. 31. -0.46% 4.36% 3.79 10.24 -6.23
24. 2022. 1. 31. 0.01% -5.26% 2.17 41.21 9.46
25. 2022. 2. 28. 1.09% -3.14% 0.15 18.47 1.69
26. 2022. 3. 31. -4.11% 3.58% 31.34 5.84 -13.53
27. 2022. 4. 30. -18.52% -8.80% 400.34 99.14 199.22
28. 2022. 5. 31. 5.02% 0.01% 12.48 1.34 -4.08
29. 2022. 6. 30. -18.57% -8.39% 402.23 91.26 191.60
30. 2022. 7. 31. 16.08% 9.11% 213.13 63.21 116.07
31. 2022. 8. 31. -0.64% -4.24% 4.49 29.22 11.46
32. 2022. 9. 30. -15.59% -9.34% 291.55 110.27 179.30
33. 2022. 10. 31. 25.68% 7.99% 585.57 46.58 165.16
34. 2022. 11. 30. 10.49% 5.38% 81.06 17.76 37.94
35. 2022. 12. 31. -2.44% -5.90% 15.42 49.82 27.71
36. 2023. 1. 31. -3.95% 6.18% 29.53 25.14 -27.25
37. 2023. 2. 28. 5.26% -2.61% 14.23 14.23 -14.23
38. 2023. 3. 31. 12.95% 3.51% 131.48 5.49 26.88
39. 2023. 4. 30. 3.53% 1.46% 4.17 0.09 0.62
40. 2023. 5. 31. 2.59% 0.25% 1.22 0.83 -1.01
41. 2023. 6. 30. 8.19% 4.71% 45.04 12.62 23.84
42. 2023. 7. 31. 4.07% 4.85% 6.68 13.58 9.53
43. 2023. 8. 31. 0.19% -1.77% 1.67 8.60 3.79
44. 2023. 9. 30. -3.35% -4.87% 23.33 36.40 29.14
45. 2023. 10. 31. -1.74% -2.20% 10.37 11.28 10.82
46. 2023. 11. 30. 12.12% 8.92% 113.21 60.17 82.53
47. 2023. 12. 31. 4.85% 4.42% 11.35 10.64 10.99
48. 2024. 1. 31. 3.75% 1.59% 5.15 0.18 0.97
49. 2024. 2. 29. 18.48% 5.17% 288.84 16.09 68.16
50. 2024. 3. 31. 11.88% 3.10% 108.10 3.77 20.18
51. 2024. 4. 30. -7.65% -4.16% 83.45 28.33 48.62
52. 2024. 5. 31. 2.05% 4.80% 0.32 13.26 2.07
53. 2024. 6. 30. -3.74% 3.47% 27.25 5.32 -12.04
54. 2024. 7. 31. 7.24% 1.13% 33.14 0.00 -0.17
55. 2024. 8. 31. 2.60% 2.28% 1.24 1.26 1.25
56. 2024. 9. 30. 8.15% 2.02% 44.50 0.74 5.73
57. 2024. 10. 31. -8.91% -0.99% 108.00 4.63 22.35
58. 2024. 11. 30. 6.04% 5.73% 20.78 20.87 20.83
59. 2024. 12. 31. -8.28% -2.50% 95.41 13.40 35.75
합계 (Σ): 6,823.57 1,618.62 1,937.89

모두 보기

분산GE = Σ(RGE,tRGE)2 ÷ (59 – 1)
= 6,823.57 ÷ (59 – 1)
= 117.65

분산S&P 500 = Σ(RS&P 500,tRS&P 500)2 ÷ (59 – 1)
= 1,618.62 ÷ (59 – 1)
= 27.91

공분산GE, S&P 500 = Σ(RGE,tRGE)×(RS&P 500,tRS&P 500) ÷ (59 – 1)
= 1,937.89 ÷ (59 – 1)
= 33.41


체계적인 위험 추정 (β)

Microsoft Excel
분산GE 117.65
분산S&P 500 27.91
공분산GE, S&P 500 33.41
상관 계수GE, S&P 5001 0.58
βGE2 1.20
αGE3 0.09%

계산

1 상관 계수GE, S&P 500
= 공분산GE, S&P 500 ÷ (표준 편차GE × 표준 편차S&P 500)
= 33.41 ÷ (10.85% × 5.28%)
= 0.58

2 βGE
= 공분산GE, S&P 500 ÷ 분산S&P 500
= 33.41 ÷ 27.91
= 1.20

3 αGE
= 평균의GE – βGE × 평균의S&P 500
= 1.48%1.20 × 1.16%
= 0.09%


기대 수익률

Microsoft Excel
가정
LT Treasury Composite의 수익률1 RF 4.77%
시장 포트폴리오에 대한 예상 수익률2 E(RM) 14.92%
보통주의 체계적 위험GE Aerospace βGE 1.20
 
GE Aerospace 보통주의 예상 수익률3 E(RGE) 16.92%

1 10년 이내에 만기가 도래하거나 콜링할 수 없는 모든 미결제 고정 쿠폰 미국 국채에 대한 입찰 수익률의 비가중 평균(무위험 수익률 대리).

2 자세히 보기 »

3 E(RGE) = RF + βGE [E(RM) – RF]
= 4.77% + 1.20 [14.92%4.77%]
= 16.92%